Impact du changement climatique sur la croissance et le rendement

Impact'du'changement'climatique'sur'la'croissance'et'le'rendement'des'cultures'
en'Belgique'et'en'Europe'
Promoteurs:*
Louis*François!"#$%&'"()"*+(',%-.&%+$"(/"0,%1.&")&"()-"023,)-"4%+5'+36%1%7/)-"8#*0049!"
:';.<&)1)$&"=>?!"#$%@)<-%&'"()"A%B5)!"4C&"4D3!"EF"=,,')"(/"G%H"=+I&!"4JKLLL"A%B5)M"
N',M"LKOPQQRFFQS")J1.%,T"A+/%-MU<.$3+%-V/,5M.3MW)"
!
"#$%&'()*+!,'!('!-.-$*/'!'0)!,'!)'0)'/!')!123*,'/!45!-$,43'!6(43)4/'6!/.('--'5)!*5).7/.!
,250! 3'! -$,83'! ,952-*:4'! ,'! 1.7.)2)*$5! ;<=<>?! @A4/9! ')! 23BC! DEFFGB! ! ;'! 5$41'24!
-$,43'! ,.(/*)! 32! (/$*0025('! ')! 3'! /'5,'-'5)! ,'0! (43)4/'0! '5! +$5()*$5! ,'0! ,$55.'0!
-.).$/$3$7*:4'0!')!,'0!0(.52/*$0!,'!7'0)*$5!:4*!0$5)! H/'0(/*)0!'5!'5)/.'!,4! -$,83'B!>3!
(23(43'!.723'-'5)!3'0!+34I!,'!;JDC!2*50*!:4'!,*1'/0!0'/1*('0!.($090).-*:4'0!200$(*.0!24I!
(43)4/'0! @K$5)2*5'! ')! 23BC! DEFLGB! "'! -$,83'! 2! H2/)*(*H.! /.('--'5)! @M*/))*$&2! ')! 23BC!
0$4-*0G!N!45'!*5)'/($-H2/2*0$5!,'!-$,83'0!,'!(43)4/'0!-'5.'0!,250!3'!(2,/'!,4!H/$&')!
'4/$H.'5! O<;PQ=! ,'! RM>SK<;;T! @U))HVWWXXXB-2(04/B'4WGC! ,$5)! 32! ($-H$025)'!
X233$55'!'0)!3'!/.0'24!K<;;TSY?!@U))HVWWXXXB-2(04/B437B2(B%'WGB!!!!
;<=<>?!)/212*33'!04/!45'!7/*33'!0H2)*23'!,$5)!32!/.0$34)*$5!'0)!12/*2%3'B!A'0!0*-432)*$50!
H'41'5)!Z)/'!-'5.'0!N!45!5*1'24!3$(23!@0*)'!,'!-'04/'G!$4!/.7*$523!@/.7*$50!27/*($3'0GC!
2*50*! :4#N! 36.(U'33'! ,'! 32! ?'37*:4'! $4! ,'! 36T4/$H'B! >3! 0627*/2! ,'! 123*,'/! 3'! -$,83'! '5!
4)*3*025)!,'0!,$55.'0!,'!0*)'0!@+34I!,'!;JD!04/!,*1'/0!0*)'0!,'!(43)4/'0!,4!/.0'24!-$5,*23!
K"Q[\T]C!U))HVWW+34I5')B$/53B7$1WGC!2*50*!:4'!,'0!0)2)*0)*:4'0!,'0!/'5,'-'5)0!24!5*1'24!
52)*$523! $4! '4/$H.'5! @123*,2)*$5! ,'0! 12/*2)*$50! 0H2)*23'0! ')W$4! )'-H$/'33'0! ,'0!
/'5,'-'5)0! (23(43.0! H2/! 3'! -$,83'! 04/! 3'0! 255.'0! /.('5)'0GB! "'! -$,83'! 123*,.! 0'/2!
'504*)'!2HH3*:4.!'5!14'!,6.)4,*'/!36*-H2()!,4!(U257'-'5)!(3*-2)*:4'!04/!,*1'/0!)9H'0!,'!
(43)4/'0! !'5! ?'37*:4'! ')W$4! '5! T4/$H'B! "'0! 5$41'24I! 0(.52/*$0! ,'! 36>M;;!
@*5)'/($-H2/2*0$5!;O>M^_!]293$/!')!23BC!DEFDG!0'/$5)!4)*3*0.0B!!
;$332%$/2)*$50V! ?B! ]9(U$5! @AT=SP`TC! Q"7C! ;2-H40! ,6</3$5GC! RB! O*5')! @AT=SP`TC! Q"7C!
;2-H40! ,6</3$5GC! OBSKB! A'0)2*5! @`'-%3$4I! <7/$S?*$! ]'(UC! Q"7GC! >B! R2(:4'-*5! @QO;;?C!
A.H2/)'-'5)! <`JC! Q"7GC! <B! a'5/$)! @QO;;?C! A.H2/)'-'5)! <`JC! Q"7GC! (U'/(U'4/0! ,'0!
($50$/)*2! X233$5! K<;;TSY?! ')! '4/$H.'5! O<;PQ=C! (U'/(U'4/0! ,4! H/$&')! O<P;! ,'!
?T"PMJB!!
=.+./'5('0V!!
A4/9! OBC! <B! a2-%4(b'/0C! MB! Y2/525)C! <B! a'5/$)C! TB! K21/'C! OB! J4%'/,$40C! "B! K/25c$*0C! ='0H$50'0! $+!
T4/$H'25!+$/'0)!'($090)'-0!)$!DF0)!('5)4/9!(3*-2)'V!200'00*57!(U257'0!*5!*5)'/255423!12/*2%*3*)9!25,!
+*/'!*5)'50*)9B!%U+<)-&"J"4%+5)+-3%)$3)-".$("U+<)-&<2!dC!eDSefC!DEFFB!
K$5)2*5'! ;B! OBC! \B! A'5,$5(b'/C! =B! A'! g/''0'C! >B! R2(:4'-*5C! <B! O2/'bC! <B! g25! a'/h'3'C! `B! A'1*33')C! AB!
O$/)'3-250C! "B! K/25c$*0C! DEFLB! ]$X2/,0! M2/)*(*H2)$/9! >5)'7/2)',! g2342)*$5! 25,! O$,'33*57! $+!
T($090)'-! P'/1*('0! 45,'/! "25,S40'! ;U257'B! X+/<$.," +Y" A.$(" #-)" G3%)$3)C! *5! H/'00C!
AJ>VFEBFEeEWFididDL[BDEFLBiejF^EB!
M*/))*$&2!')!23BC!0$4-*0B!!<!(/$H!-$,'3!'50'-%3'!252390*0!$+!)'-H'/2)4/'!25,!H/'(*H*)2)*$5!'++'()0!$5!XU'2)!
9*'3,!2(/$00!2!T4/$H'25!)/250'()!40*57!*-H2()!/'0H$50'!04/+2('0B!0,%1.&)"Z)-).<36B!
]293$/C!kB!TBC!=B!RB!P)$4++'/C!`B!<B!O''U3C!DEFDB!!J1'/1*'X!$+!;O>M^!25,!'IH'/*-'5)!,'0*75B!4/,,M"=1M"*)&+<+,M"
G+3M!fLC!de^SdfeB!
!