INTERNATIONAL ASPECTS OF CORPORATE TAXATION —AN IMF PERSPECTIVE Michael Keen 7th IMF-Japan High-Level Tax Conference For Asian Countries Tokyo; April 6, 2016 Outline • IMF activities in the area • Importance for developing countries • Looking L ki fforward—Some d S iissues IMF activities in the area A wide range • Technical assistance • Analytical work, e.g. —Scaling ‘BEPS’ Book on international tax issues for the EIs —Book • ‘Platform for collaboration on tax’ (IMF,OECD, UN, WB) —Toolkits Toolkits —Wider eye on international tax issues • Enhanced Fund Fund-Bank Bank collaboration —Explicitly on international tax issues —Improved tools for tax policy diagnosis • Increased focus in IMF surveillance Importance for developing countries Scaling the issue Amplified by Greater reliance on CIT in developing countries: 20 18 16 14 12 10 CIT in % total revenue 8 6 4 2 High income Low income And fewer alternatives Lower middle income 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 0 Looking forward—Some issues 1. BEPS implementation • Work to do promoting understanding of what is in BEPS • Some unfinished business • BEPS as a package • Application to developing countries —Platform and work on toolkits • Will it address the fundamental concerns? —Ideal is to raise average g tax rates but not marginal g 2. How will the international tax system evolve? Pressures will remain, as will interest in alternative structures: t t • European commission reviving its proposal for a form of formula apportionment destination based cash flow tax’— tax • Academic interest in ‘destination-based similar to VAT plus wage subsidy —Not far from direction of reform in many countries • Greater reliance on personal level taxation? A lesson learned: It helps to have a sense of where the system will/should go 3. An elephant in the room? Tax competition • Incentive to attract tax base and real investment remains… • …with source-based taxation inherently vulnerable to d downward d ttax competition titi • Makingg avoidance harder can amplify p y the difficultyy • Some progress in operationalizing notion of ‘harmful tax competition competition’ • But can it reach to core of the issue?