Vers un service climatique pour les industriels français

Vers des services climatiques
pour les industriels français
Pascale Braconnot and the SECIF
consortium
http://secif.ipsl.fr/

Prior to SECIF
2007 2010 2011 2014
INVULNERABLe-1
INVULNERABLe-2
SECIF
Financé par FONDDRI)
Financé par GICC)
(Financé par ANR)
•In 2007
- Climate information: diverse, could be better used
for adaptation strategy and by decision makers
- Lots of industrial activity potentially affected by
climatic factors
- Climate change not taken into account
- Improvement? Dedicated service?

Project organisation
•Task 1 : identification of the needs and of the structure
–International inventory ; sociological approach ; transverse
analyses of needs
•Case studies
–Sewer system ;
–energy supply (cold waves) ;
–renewable energy
•Climate analyses and documentation
–Data analyses and model evaluation
–Uncertainties and risk
–Downscaling

A complex case: sewer system
Romans-
sur-Isère
in 2020
 Precip. in mm/day (credibility of
simulated precipitation?)
 resolution of 200km (or ~50 km if
regional downscaling
 time frame (pb signal/noise for
projections < 20-30 years)
Global climate scenarios Requests
?????
Rainy event at hourly
timescale
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
mm/h