leading scientists worldwide in its evaluations of about 7000 publications
and conclusions on food and cancer and opinions drawn finally by a panel of
toxicologists. The studies evaluated on meat and cancer are much smaller
with 12 and 5 studies (see table). The opinions have caused in some
countries and with several governments the concern that besides other
causes the eating of red meat and processed meat may promote colorectal
cancer.
The WCRF panel states that there is a relationship of colorectal cancer
and intake of red meat / processed meat with “Convincing Evidence”
This “convincing evidence” is met in the foods area only by alcohol and
aflatoxin contaminated foods. However, a BMI >30, no or low physical
activity and other none food attributed behaviours like smoking are even
worse with convincing evidence for 7 different kinds of cancer.
The report received criticism from many sides mainly by opposing its
“nannying” recommendations. In a new report of WCRF in 2009 called” The
Policy and Action for Cancer Prevention Food, Nutrition and Physical
Activity: a Global Perspective” (WCRF 2009), see table for details, they step
back slightly and state that is was by no means their intentions to tell the
people what to eat. In the Appendix A of this report on page 150 they try on
the example of red meat to improve their statements by stating that eating
red meat between 10 and 80g/day has a relative risk (RR) of 1.03 and a
Population Attributable Fraction (PAF)of cancer incidence of 5% for colorectal
cancer calculated for UK. A RR of 1.03 is regarded in such statistical
evaluations as not significant at all, (actually up to RR 1.1 values are
regarded as insignificant) and a 5% PAF lets one wonder where the
“Convincing Evidence” remains. But as it is common this second statement
only a few people will read and take up in their judgements. Thus I will take
a look at the arguments of the November 2007 report.
1. The panel recommends with regard to meat
a.) to eat as an individual <500g cooked red meat including the part of
red meat in the processed products per week. This is equivalent to 71g
red meat/day.
In the report (WCRF II) on several pages and especially in the printed
summary of the report it is said that the 500g are calculated from 700 to
750g raw red meat. It means that on processing and preparation one looses
29 to 33% of the raw weight. It is, however, a long experience in the meat
business and catering that preparing fresh meat result in a loss of 15 to
25%. Let us take a mean value of 20 %.
The apparently intended figure for intake of red meat by the WCRF panel is
based on 700 to 750g raw meat. Nutritionists who refer to the WCRF report
state indeed 100g raw red meat/ day. This is equivalent to 80 g prepared
meat /day. This figure is the value in the new report with 10 to 80g/day
(WCRF 2009) and an RR of 1.03.
What about the processing?
In the 80g/day also the processed red meat is included. Do we loose weight
during processing? I calculated it taking into account the cooked and non-
heat treated meat products. By adding water, salt and additives to the meat